Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.803163 2.061462 2.343886 2.675656 3.054820 3.474758 3.975342
2024-12-29 1.402504 1.750305 2.164961 2.696010 3.358631 4.158982 5.200521
2025-01-05 1.149941 1.524189 1.997709 2.641302 3.494448 4.588429 6.101073
2025-01-12 0.970800 1.351784 1.857874 2.580116 3.586261 4.941362 6.910850
2025-01-19 0.828545 1.204022 1.724276 2.498797 3.625268 5.208482 7.611407
2025-01-26 0.785890 1.186834 1.763887 2.656381 4.005906 5.977037 9.088267
2025-02-02 0.749725 1.172731 1.803048 2.812548 4.394297 6.787480 10.702976
2025-02-09 0.708125 1.144266 1.815367 2.925483 4.723168 7.533326 12.286723
2025-02-16 0.657492 1.095169 1.789118 2.972192 4.947928 8.132094 13.688518
2025-02-23 0.593579 1.017242 1.708118 2.919790 5.002642 8.457028 14.664106
2025-03-02 0.543235 0.956448 1.648504 2.895351 5.098376 8.852976 15.790089
2025-03-09 0.507125 0.916186 1.618961 2.918092 5.274567 9.396653 17.218440
2025-03-16 0.471713 0.874611 1.584777 2.932014 5.441270 9.947361 18.730790
2025-03-23 0.441303 0.839186 1.558264 2.957311 5.631220 10.557620 20.415834
2025-03-30 0.402366 0.783833 1.489882 2.897124 5.653846 10.858693 21.538909
2025-04-06 0.366784 0.731306 1.421661 2.829967 5.655107 11.116464 22.597663
2025-04-13 0.332321 0.677584 1.346088 2.740708 5.603225 11.264190 23.446369
2025-04-20 0.330700 0.689406 1.399341 2.913681 6.093422 12.525419 26.691907
2025-04-27 0.328401 0.699511 1.449792 3.085106 6.595536 13.854000 30.205608
2025-05-04 0.321031 0.698206 1.476620 3.209080 7.008453 15.033179 33.510785
2025-05-11 0.307151 0.681608 1.469956 3.260356 7.268908 15.911465 36.237720
2025-05-18 0.284759 0.644301 1.415921 3.202831 7.284250 16.260376 37.807314
2025-05-25 0.266825 0.615293 1.377319 3.176003 7.365390 16.759806 39.767136